Difference between revisions of "HS-ESS3-5"

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{{Navlinks|HS-ESS2-8|HS-ESS3-1|← HS-ESS2-8|HS-ESS3-1 →}}
 
{{Navlinks|HS-ESS2-8|HS-ESS3-1|← HS-ESS2-8|HS-ESS3-1 →}}
 
{{learningstandard
 
{{learningstandard
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| topic = Climate Change Forecasting
 
| ls = Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence-based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.
 
| ls = Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence-based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.
 
| cs = Examples of evidence, for both data and climate model outputs, are for climate changes (such as precipitation and temperature) and their associated impacts (such as on sea level, glacial ice volumes, or atmosphere and ocean composition).
 
| cs = Examples of evidence, for both data and climate model outputs, are for climate changes (such as precipitation and temperature) and their associated impacts (such as on sea level, glacial ice volumes, or atmosphere and ocean composition).
 
| ab = Assessment is limited to one example of a climate change and its associated impacts.
 
| ab = Assessment is limited to one example of a climate change and its associated impacts.
 
}}
 
}}
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== {{Assessmentheading}} ==
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{{assessmentmessage}}
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:center"
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! style="padding: 0.5em 1.5em;" | Exam
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! style="padding: 0.5em 1.5em;" | Cluster
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! style="padding: 0.5em 1.5em;" | Question
 +
|-
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[August 2026 Earth and Space Science Exam|August 2026 Earth and Space Sciences Regents]]
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano|Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano]]
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano#q4|Question 45]]
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|-
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| rowspan="3" style="background-color:white;" | [[January 2026 Earth and Space Science Exam|January 2026 Earth and Space Sciences Regents]]
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice|Greenland's Glacial Ice]]
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q1|Question 28]]
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|-
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice|Greenland's Glacial Ice]]
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q3|Question 30]]
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|-
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice|Greenland's Glacial Ice]]
 +
| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q5|Question 32]]
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|-
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| rowspan="4" style="background-color:white;" | [[June 2025 Earth and Space Science Exam|June 2025 Earth and Space Sciences Regents]]
 +
| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change|Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Global Climate]]
 +
| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q3|Question 8]]
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|-
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change|Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Global Climate]]
 +
| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q5|Question 10]]
 +
|-
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:The Carbon Cycle|The Carbon Cycle]]
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:The Carbon Cycle#q5|Question 15]]
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|-
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Ghost Forests|Ghost Forests]]
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|Question 38]]
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|-
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| style="background-color:white;" | [[Earth and Space Science Sample Questions|Earth and Space Sciences sample clusters]] (Fall 2024)
 +
| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:ESS Earth's Climate|Earth's Climate]]
 +
| style="background-color:white;" | [[Questions:ESS Earth's Climate#q4|Question 4]]
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|}
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 +
== Vocabulary ==
 +
Terms from the [[Earth & Space Science Glossary]] that come from this standard or from the released exam questions that assess it.
 +
 +
<div class="vocab-subhead">From this standard</div>
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<div class="vocab-list" style="column-width:14em;">
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* argument
 +
* atmosphere
 +
* climate change
 +
* composition
 +
* design solution
 +
* Earth
 +
* evidence-based forecast
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* geoscience data
 +
* glacial ice volumes
 +
* global climate models
 +
* human impacts
 +
* model
 +
* new technologies
 +
* ocean
 +
* precipitation
 +
* regional climate change
 +
* sea level
 +
</div>
 +
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<div class="vocab-subhead">From released exam questions</div>
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<div class="vocab-list" style="column-width:20em;">
 +
* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|biodiversity]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q5|density]] – Jan 2026
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* [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q5|emissions]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano#q4|fossil fuels]] – Aug 2026
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* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|ghost forest]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q1|glacial ice]] – Jan 2026
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* [[Questions:The Carbon Cycle#q5|glaciers]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q5|greenhouse gas emissions]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q5|greenhouse gases]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|ground vegetation]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|high tide]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|humidity]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q1|ice]] – Jan 2026, [[Questions:ESS Earth's Climate#q4|Sample 2024]]
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* [[Questions:ESS Earth's Climate#q4|ice extent]] – Sample 2024
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* [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q1|ice sheet]] – Jan 2026
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* [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q3|mass]] – Jan 2026
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* [[Questions:The Carbon Cycle#q5|ocean circulation]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q5|ocean currents]] – Jan 2026
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* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|runoff]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q5|salinity]] – Jan 2026
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* [[Questions:Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano#q4|satellites]] – Aug 2026
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* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|soil erosion]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|solar energy]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q3|surface ocean currents]] – June 2025
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* [[Questions:Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano#q4|surface temperature]] – Aug 2026, [[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q5|June 2025]]
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* [[Questions:Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano#q4|water vapor]] – Aug 2026
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</div>
  
 
{{PerformanceLevel}}
 
{{PerformanceLevel}}
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| Level4 = Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence‐based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.
 
| Level4 = Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence‐based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.
 
| Level3 = Analyze geoscience data or the results from a global climate model to make an evidence-based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or an associated future impact to an Earth system.
 
| Level3 = Analyze geoscience data or the results from a global climate model to make an evidence-based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or an associated future impact to an Earth system.
 +
| Example3 = <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano#q4|Aug 2026 · Q45]]</span> <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:The Carbon Cycle#q5|June 2025 · Q15]]</span>
 
| Level2 = Use geoscience data and/or the results from a global climate model, to identify the evidence-based claim (forecast), from those provided, of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or identify an associated future impact to an Earth system.
 
| Level2 = Use geoscience data and/or the results from a global climate model, to identify the evidence-based claim (forecast), from those provided, of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or identify an associated future impact to an Earth system.
 +
| Example2 = <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q1|Jan 2026 · Q28]]</span> <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q3|Jan 2026 · Q30]]</span> <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:ESS Earth's Climate#q4|June 2025 · Q4]]</span> <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q5|June 2025 · Q10]]</span>
 
| Level1 = Given geoscience data or the results from a global climate model, or a given evidence‐based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change, identify an associated future impact to an Earth system.
 
| Level1 = Given geoscience data or the results from a global climate model, or a given evidence‐based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change, identify an associated future impact to an Earth system.
 +
| Example1 = <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:Greenland's Glacial Ice#q5|Jan 2026 · Q32]]</span> <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:Ghost Forests#q3|June 2025 · Q38]]</span> <span class="pld-chip pld-chip-ess">[[Questions:Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Climate Change#q3|June 2025 · Q8]]</span>
 
}}
 
}}
  
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== {{Assessmentheading}} ==
 
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* [[Questions:ESS Earth's Climate#q4|Earth's Climate Q4]]
 
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== {{Dimensionsheading}} ==
 
== {{Dimensionsheading}} ==
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| TOPIC = HS. Weather and Climate
 
| TOPIC = HS. Weather and Climate
 
}}
 
}}
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<metadesc>NYS Standard HS-ESS3-5: Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence-based
 
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forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.</metadesc>
 

Latest revision as of 09:46, 18 October 2026

Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence-based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.

Clarification statement: Examples of evidence, for both data and climate model outputs, are for climate changes (such as precipitation and temperature) and their associated impacts (such as on sea level, glacial ice volumes, or atmosphere and ocean composition).

Assessment boundary: Assessment is limited to one example of a climate change and its associated impacts.

Regents Exam Questions

Released New York State Regents exam questions that assess HS-ESS3-5 are listed here by exam and question cluster. Each link opens the question with its answer key.

Exam Cluster Question
August 2026 Earth and Space Sciences Regents Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’pai Volcano Question 45
January 2026 Earth and Space Sciences Regents Greenland's Glacial Ice Question 28
Greenland's Glacial Ice Question 30
Greenland's Glacial Ice Question 32
June 2025 Earth and Space Sciences Regents Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Global Climate Question 8
Modeling Earth Systems to Understand Global Climate Question 10
The Carbon Cycle Question 15
Ghost Forests Question 38
Earth and Space Sciences sample clusters (Fall 2024) Earth's Climate Question 4

Vocabulary

Terms from the Earth & Space Science Glossary that come from this standard or from the released exam questions that assess it.

From this standard
  • argument
  • atmosphere
  • climate change
  • composition
  • design solution
  • Earth
  • evidence-based forecast
  • geoscience data
  • glacial ice volumes
  • global climate models
  • human impacts
  • model
  • new technologies
  • ocean
  • precipitation
  • regional climate change
  • sea level
From released exam questions

Performance Level Descriptions

Every Regents exam question on HS-ESS3-5 is written to match one of the performance level descriptions (PLDs) below.

Level 1: Given geoscience data or the results from a global climate model, or a given evidence‐based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change, identify an associated future impact to an Earth system. Jan 2026 · Q32 June 2025 · Q38 June 2025 · Q8
Level 2: Use geoscience data and/or the results from a global climate model, to identify the evidence-based claim (forecast), from those provided, of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or identify an associated future impact to an Earth system. Jan 2026 · Q28 Jan 2026 · Q30 June 2025 · Q4 June 2025 · Q10
Level 3: Analyze geoscience data or the results from a global climate model to make an evidence-based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or an associated future impact to an Earth system. Aug 2026 · Q45 June 2025 · Q15
Level 4: Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence‐based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.
Level 5: Collect and analyze geoscience data from global climate models to make valid and reliable scientific claims. Use those claims to determine an optimal design solution to slow the rate of climate change and its associated future impacts to Earth systems.

Resources

Examples and discussion of resources for the learning, teaching, and assessment of HS-ESS3-5.

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NGSS Dimensions

Performance expectation HS-ESS3-5 was developed using the following elements from the NRC document A Framework for K-12 Science Education:

Science and Engineering Practices
  • Analyzing and interpreting data: Analyze data using tools, technologies and/or models (e.g., computational or mathematical) in order to make valid and reliable scientific claims or determine optimal design solution.
  • Scientific Investigations Use a Variety of Methods: Science investigations use diverse methods and do not always use the same set of procedures to obtain data.
  • Scientific Investigations Use a Variety of Methods: New technologies advance scientific knowledge.
  • Scientific Knowledge is Based on Empirical Evidence: Science knowledge is based on empirical evidence.
  • Scientific Knowledge is Based on Empirical Evidence: Science arguments are strengthened by multiple lines of evidence supporting a single explanation.
Disciplinary Core Ideas
  • Global climate change: Though the magnitudes of human impacts are greater than they have ever been, so too are human abilities to model, predict, and manage current and future impacts.
Crosscutting Concepts
  • Stability and change: Change and rates of change can be quantified and modeled over very short or very long periods of time. Some system changes are irreversible.
Page contributors: Conrad Richman, Caroline Leonard
Earth and Space Science | HS. Weather and Climate