HS-ESS3-5

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Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence-based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.

Clarification statement: Examples of evidence, for both data and climate model outputs, are for climate changes (such as precipitation and temperature) and their associated impacts (such as on sea level, glacial ice volumes, or atmosphere and ocean composition).

Assessment boundary: Assessment is limited to one example of a climate change and its associated impacts.

Performance Level Descriptions

PLDs communicate the knowledge and skills expected of students to demonstrate proficiency in each Learning Standard. NYS assessments classify student performance into one of five levels.

Level 5Level 4Level 3Level 2Level 1

Collect and analyze geoscience data from global climate models to make valid and reliable scientific claims. Use those claims to determine an optimal design solution to slow the rate of climate change and its associated future impacts to Earth systems.

Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence‐based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.

Analyze geoscience data or the results from a global climate model to make an evidence-based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or an associated future impact to an Earth system.

Use geoscience data and/or the results from a global climate model, to identify the evidence-based claim (forecast), from those provided, of the current rate of global or regional climate change and/or identify an associated future impact to an Earth system.

Given geoscience data or the results from a global climate model, or a given evidence‐based claim (forecast) of the current rate of global or regional climate change, identify an associated future impact to an Earth system.

Resources

Examples and discussion of resources for the learning, teaching, and assessment of HS-ESS3-5.

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Assessment

What assessment of HS-ESS3-5 might look like on a NY state exam.

• Earth's Climate Q4

NGSS Dimensions

Performance expectation HS-ESS3-5 was developed using the following elements from the NRC document A Framework for K-12 Science Education:

Science and Engineering Practices

• Analyzing and interpreting data: Analyze data using tools, technologies and/or models (e.g., computational or mathematical) in order to make valid and reliable scientific claims or determine optimal design solution.
• Scientific Investigations Use a Variety of Methods: Science investigations use diverse methods and do not always use the same set of procedures to obtain data.
• Scientific Investigations Use a Variety of Methods: New technologies advance scientific knowledge.
• Scientific Knowledge is Based on Empirical Evidence: Science knowledge is based on empirical evidence.
• Scientific Knowledge is Based on Empirical Evidence: Science arguments are strengthened by multiple lines of evidence supporting a single explanation.

Disciplinary Core Ideas

• Global climate change: Though the magnitudes of human impacts are greater than they have ever been, so too are human abilities to model, predict, and manage current and future impacts.

Crosscutting Concepts

• Stability and change: Change and rates of change can be quantified and modeled over very short or very long periods of time. Some system changes are irreversible.

Page contributors: Conrad Richman, Caroline Leonard

Earth and Space Science | HS. Weather and Climate